With the disintegration of the USSR and the rejection of Marxism-Leninism in China, only two countries left behind. In Korea and Cuba still flies the flag of communism discredited.
The two families in power in Korea's Kim and Castro in Cuba, have insisted on maintaining their privileges trying to defend a doctrine that failed miserably everywhere it was implemented.
The economy in both countries is in bankruptcy. In Korea, the famine is a constant threat. The country survives on the proceeds of a policy of blackmail which helps extract the West.
In Cuba's economy has been crippled by Grant Chavez, the income received by remittances and Cuban exiles over an industry Tourist subject to artificial social peace which can crumble at any time.
As in any totalitarian dictatorship, the kingpin is repression. The Castro regime remains a tightrope. So apply a selective repression against their opponents without reaching the levels of violence characteristic of the first stage of the dictatorship of the proletariat.
This type of repression that might characterize low intensity, is the product of circumstances:
The weakness of the regime
Castroism fears that the implementation of bloody violence cause a runaway reaction in a population apparently tamed.
The recent riots in the Arab case in point. Peoples who for nearly half a century patiently accepted corrupt and murderous dictatorships have reacted to an unexpected boldness aggression as completely unacceptable. The Cubans do not have to why an exception.
The Castro regime is broken internally by the failures of the system, international isolation, lack of faith in their leaders and internal corruption. There is no possibility of a "Cultural Revolution" in Cuba.
The nomenclature is in crisis, aware that the scheme is in its final stage, regardless of what this delay. Only a minority of the repressive apparatus is ready to machar their hands with blood. They are aggressive individuals and criminals. Most seek a solution on the horizon.
external dependence
Tourism is an industry very vulnerable to the political problems of a nation. Castro's tyranny is to be avoided at all costs an image of instability in Cuba could affect the entry of tourists.
represents income Exile the Castro regime than those of tourism. For this reason, the dictatorship is bound to take care of the impact of harsh repression may have in the exile community. This can react to Washington demanding a harder line towards the regime.
Without the socialist market without subsidy from the USSR, the Cuban regime was helpless. The grant Chavez depends on a man in power and therefore is subject to their future in Venezuela.
The only way left for the dictatorship is an arrangement with the United States and a basic condition to reach it implies a level of repression politically acceptable to the United States.
The Castro regime continues its stay in power for nothing. Its life cycle is ending. Intends to implement changes that imply an easing of political control. The low-intensity repression is a double-edged sword, try to maintain a balance in a society that is in the abyss or skirts, while discouraging the only energy that can be removed completely liberated Cuba from backwardness and poverty : of the people.
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